Free calculator
De-vig a market to its fair odds.
Enter two or three decimal prices and see the implied probabilities, the overround, and the de-vigged fair odds — the same proportional-normalisation method we use before scoring any line.
Market
How to read the result
De-vigging divides each outcome's raw implied probability (1 / decimal odds) by the sum of all implied probabilities, removing the bookmaker's margin to produce fair odds.
Fair odds are a reference, not a promise. The calculator divides each raw implied probability by their total, which assumes the margin is spread evenly across outcomes. Other methods make different assumptions, and none turns a market consensus into a prediction.
The overround is the book's margin. Two prices at 1.95 and 1.90 imply a total of about 103.9% — 3.9 points of built-in margin. The fair odds rebalance that total back to 100%.
A price set whose implied probabilities total below 100% has no built-in margin on paper. Before treating that as an edge, check fees, limits, and whether the prices are even available together.
Also see
Expected value
Compare your probability estimate against a price and see whether the bet has an edge — or a negative expectation.
Open calculator →
Kelly stake
Size a single bet against your bankroll with full or fractional Kelly, and see why the fraction exists.
Open calculator →
Arbitrage stake split
Split a stake across outcomes for an equal return, and check whether the prices are an arbitrage at all before costs.
Open calculator →